National Senior Living Operator Bucks Trend; Leads Post-Acute Stocks During Downturn

Home Health Index | 2021 March Update

Home health and post-acute care stockholders are likely glad that February is the shortest month of the year.

Nearly all the companies in the Stoneridge Partners Home Health (HHI) and Post-Acute Care Indices (PAI) took a hit last month – only Brookdale Senior Living Inc. (NYSE: BKD) saw a month-over-month jump in its stock value, thanks to the major home health and hospice deal it announced with HCA Healthcare (NYSE: HCA) on February 24th.

“People have speculated that Brookdale might offload its home health and hospice business to maximize value, and that finally came to fruition in February,” said Stoneridge Partners President Rich Tinsley. “Meanwhile, the other major industry players gave back some of the impressive gains they’ve made over the past year, but I expect that to turn around as our economy begins to grow again and we see deal activity continuing to ramp up.”

The HHI fell by nearly 11% in February as compared to January; the PAI likewise plummeted by almost 21%. Meanwhile, the S&P 500 was up almost 3% for the month.

Home Health Index

The monthly HHI from Stoneridge monitors the stock values of Baton Rouge, Louisiana-based Amedisys, Inc. (Nasdaq: AMED) and Lafayette, Louisiana-based LHC Group, Inc. (Nasdaq: LHCG).

Amedisys stock fell by more than 12% in February as compared to January. LHC Group’s stock fell by almost 9% during the same period after announcing lower than expected projections for the first quarter of 2021. Nevertheless, stock values for both companies are up more than 40% compared to 12 months ago, continuing a trend that has seen both companies’ stock soar over the past five years.

“LHC Group and Amedisys are still riding plenty of tailwinds,” Tinsley said. “Each has talked about setting up innovative models of care to shift patients away from skilled nursing facilities (SNFs), which continues to be a national priority. Each has also made progress in securing stronger contracting positions with payers outside of fee-for-service Medicare. There may be bumps in the road, but overall, I think they’ll continue on their current upward trajectory.”

Post-Acute Care Index

The Stoneridge Partners PAI combines stock values for Amedisys and LHC Group with values for Addus HomeCare Corporation (Nasdaq: ADUS), Encompass Health Corp. (NYSE: EHC), The Pennant Group, Inc. (Nasdaq: PNTG) and Brookdale.

Frisco, Texas-based Addus’ stock dropped almost 5% in February – but that’s likely to rebound in March, buoyed by investor interest in the company’s recently announced value-based care arrangement with Presbyterian Health Plan in New Mexico. Meanwhile, Birmingham, Alabama-based Encompass Health saw its stock dip just less than 1% last month, and stock values for Eagle, Idaho-based Pennant dropped by almost 5%.

As for Brookdale, the Brentwood, Tennessee-based company’s stock climbed by nearly 17% in February compared to January.

“Brookdale has been very active in vaccinating residents against the COVID-19 virus, which helps with restoring occupancy,” Tinsley said. “But the agreement with HCA Healthcare also has a lot to do with the surge. Home health and hospice multiples remain incredibly high, so this is a good time for Brookdale to cash in on its health care services segment.”

Brookdale announced toward the end of last month that it’s selling an 80% stake in its health care services business to HCA Healthcare for $400 million, pending all necessary regulatory approvals.

“As we pursued this business opportunity, it was extremely important to find the right strategic partner with the same dedication to care,” Brookdale CEO Lucinda Baier said during her company’s fourth-quarter earnings call. “Our new partnership is designed to deliver value for our shareholders, and it ensures continuity of quality care for our residents and patients while improving access to additional health care services.”

Quote of the Month

“As baby boomers age, we will need to be thinking about how we take care of a population of people that will have some disabilities as they age but are still going to find it attractive to be independent and continue to be as viable as long as they can.” – Grace Terrell, CEO of Eventus Whole Health, an operator of skilled nursing and assisted living facilities in five states across the Southern and Midwestern U.S.

Read the Full Article Here: Home is Where The Care Is

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See It To Believe It!

The Stoneridge Partners Home Health Index (HH Index) is updated monthly and measures the performance of these two publicly traded home health companies, all listed on the NASDAQ:

  • LHC Group (LHCG)
  • Amedisys (AMED)
(Home Health Index March 2021 | Stoneridge Partners)

Here are the results of the stock prices for the past two years:

Company 2/28/21 1 mos change YTD change 2/28/20 2/28/19
Amedisys 253.64 -12.26% -13.53% 174.01 122.65
LHC Group 181.71 -8.74% -14.82% 121.46 106.39
HH Index* 217.68 -10.82% -14.07% 147.74 114.52
S&P 3841 +2.94% +2.26% 2954.22 2796.5
Addus 107.57 -4.53% -8.13% 76.27 66.35

Although we track the performance of Addus, they are not included in our HH Index because very little of their revenue comes from Medicare.

Enterprise Value (EV)

EV (in M) 2/28/21 2/28/20 2/28/19
Amedisys 8550 6320 4010
LHC Group 5610 4400 3680
HH Index Total 14160 10720 7690
Addus 1630 1230 761

Enterprise Value (EV), aka Selling Price, as Percent of Revenue

Company 2/28/21 2/28/20 2/28/19
Amedisys 413% 323% 247%
LHC Group 272% 214% 232%
HH Index Average* 343% 269% 240%
Addus 215% 206% 156%

Multiples of EV/EBITDA

Think of this as selling price as a multiple of EBITDA.

Company 2/28/21 2/28/20 2/28/19
Amedisys 29.5 26.4 24.39
LHC Group 25.86 22.68 27.61
HH Index Average* 27.68 24.54 26.00
Addus 27.05 31.93 20.31

The Stoneridge Partners Post-Acute Care Index is updated monthly and measures the performance of these six publicly traded post-acute care companies, all listed on the NASDAQ:

  • LHC Group (LHCG)
  • Amedisys (AMED)
  • Addus (ADUS)
  • The Pennant Group, Inc. (PNTG)
  • Encompass Health (EHC)
  • Brookdale Senior Living Inc. (BKD)

This graph displays Post-Acute Care Index performance starting late 2019.

The above calculations are based on selling price being defined as Enterprise Value (EV), with data provided by Capital IQ. Enterprise value is defined as market cap plus debt, minority interest and preferred shares, minus total cash and cash equivalents. EBITDA is calculated using methodology which may differ from that used by a company for its reporting. (Home Health Index March 2021 | Stoneridge Partners)

Recent Transactions From Around The Country

  • Private-equity backed hospice and home health provider Charter Heath Group has acquired Serene Care Hospice in Omaha, NE
  • Private-equity backed hospice and home health provider Charter Heath Group has acquired Physmed in Omaha, NE

Exclusively Listed For Sale By Stoneridge Partners

Do you know of any acquisitions that have taken place? We are interested in your comments. Contact us; Stoneridge Partners

Hospice.  45+ ADC.  Rio Grande Valley.  No CAP or regulatory issues.

 Hospice /  Texas

$2M revenue home care agency.  100% private pay.  Primarily non-medical.  Skilled designation, not Medicare-certified.  W-2 caregivers.  Region 8.  Accredited.

 Home Care /  Florida

Profitable private-duty home health agency in Northern Virginia.  $1.5M in revenue.  20+ years in the community.

 Home Health /  Virginia

Profitable home care franchise with consistent sales growth.  Revenue of $1.3M.  Great reputation within the community.

 Home Care /  Iowa

$40M+ home care agency with 20+% AEBITDA.  Primarily private-duty, non-medical (90%).  Medicaid waiver programs.  40% family caregivers.  Multiple locations.

 Home Care /  Pennsylvania

Colorado Springs and surrounding areas.  Opportunity to grow existing small hospice.  Motivated Seller

 Hospice /  Colorado

Medicare-certified home health agency.  Houston/Kingwood area.  Approximately $600k in revenue.  Accredited.

 Home Health /  Texas

I/DD provider offering SCL & FHP services.  $3M in revenue.  Recent rate increase.

 I/DD /  Kentucky

Hospice.  30+ADC.  No CAP or regulatory issues.

 Hospice /  Illinois

Behavioral Health/Suboxone Clinic.  $900k in revenue.  21 years in business with stellar reputation.  Single office, great opportunities for expansion.  All cash paying patient base.

 Behavioral Health /  Kentucky

I/DD residential services.  $11M in revenue.  Highly profitable agency with long-standing reputation.  Community Residential Services (CRS) 4-bed model & Integrated Community Supports (ICS) apartment settings.

 I/DD /  Minnesota

Well established home health agency.  $4M in revenue.  Fully staffed.  Profitable.  Good history of compliance.

 Home Health /  Missouri

Home Health CON in Montgomery County.  Profitable agency generating over $1.3M in revenue.  95%+ Medicare.  Built in marketing relationship and growth potential.

 Home Health /  Maryland

Skilled Home Health & Private Duty. $4.4 million in revenue. 22% census increase over last year. Established over 23 years.

 Home Health /  Florida

Medicare/Medicaid Home Health agency. $8 million in revenue. Long history in the community.

 Home Health /  Oklahoma

86 patient hospice located Northeast of Houston, TX. $4M+ in revenue with 20% + adjusted EBITDA. Full staff in place. Excellent record of compliance.

 Hospice /  Texas

Medicare-certified home health agency. District 7. Census of approximately 30 patients. Accredited.

 Home Health /  Florida

Hospice. 150 ADC. Strong growth. Expertly run with administrative team willing to stay involved. No CAP or regulatory issues.

 Hospice /  Southwest

Mental Health Treatment Center. $1.1M in revenue. Long-established, profitable practice. Full spectrum of medical treatment and therapy services.

 Behavioral Health /  Indiana

Medical Staffing Agency. $4.6M in revenue. Established over 25 years. Excellent rapport with regional hospital network.

 Other /  Kentucky

Medicare home health agency.  Health system relationship.  Rare KY CON opportunity, multiple counties

 Home Health /  Kentucky

Large, established franchise territory.  $2.5 million revenue.  Two offices with strong leadership teams in place.

 Home Care /  Michigan

Home health with $8M in revenue.  Medicare/Medicaid-certified.  90+% traditional Medicare/episodic.  Services central Texas and licensed for entire state.  Strong management team in place.

 Home Health /  Texas

Medicare-certified home health agency.  Houston-area.  Minimal census.

 Home Health /  Texas

Medicare-certified home health agency.  $1M+ in revenue.  Long-established agency with excellent community rapport.

 Home Health /  Texas

$19.5M large home care franchisee.  89% Medicaid.  Well-established company operating more than 20 years.  Phenomenal year-over-year revenue growth.

 Home Care /  Illinois

Well-established and profitable franchisee.  Revenue of $4.9M.  Medicaid and private pay.

 Home Care /  Southwest

Home Health Index March 2021 | Stoneridge Partners

From Rich Tinsley, Publisher of “Home Health Index.” Rich can be reached at [email protected] or (239) 561-0826, and toll-free at 800-218-3944. Previous editions of this monthly newsletter can be searched for at the bottom of the home page of the Home Health Index. Links to Google Finance: Amedisys | LHC Group